Establishment of Cost Analysis and Financing Mechanism of Major Green Energy Industry in Taiwan

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Project title

Code/計畫編號

MOST103-3113-P019-002

Translated Name/計畫中文名

台灣主軸能源產業之成本分析與貸款機制之建立(I)

Project Coordinator/計畫主持人

Duu-Hwa Lee

Funding Organization/主管機關

National Science and Technology Council

Co-Investigator(s)/共同執行人

張靜貞
胡星陽
蘇忠楨

Department/Unit

Institute of Applied Economics

Website

https://www.grb.gov.tw/search/planDetail?id=8262413

Year

2014

Start date/計畫起

01-04-2014

Expected Completion/計畫迄

31-12-2014

Bugetid/研究經費

3770千元

ResearchField/研究領域

能源工程
經濟學

"永續發展與低碳社會是臺灣因應氣候變遷與IPCC AR5與UNFCCC COP 20等國際環境與能源管理之趨勢，台灣具有稟賦的低碳能源中，能源國家型第二期計畫以離岸風力、海洋能、地熱與淨煤減碳再利用四種主軸能源為主要台灣之未來低碳能源發展之能源技術。經濟與產業成長需要基於永續發展觀念，在綠色能源開發商、綠色金融業者、其上下游供應鏈各方面需能創造獲利，以及公司、股東持續投資與成長開發的經濟誘因，而政府扶植主軸能源產業與供應鏈發展有助於臺灣經濟成長新動力，創造綠色就業，金融服務業也需要有新的綠色金融商品與制度，如此具有經濟誘因，讓各方面具有達到最適均衡的綠色成長與綠色發展符合國際間綠色經濟的發展趨勢。本整合計畫為普及之臺灣主軸能源-離岸風力之普及與推行，參考在開發商成本與貸款部分國外已有相關經驗，例如英國綠色投資銀行與德國復興信貸銀行經驗，配合台灣經濟產業結構與開發環境，研析具「自我調整最適配置與行為的經濟誘因之離岸風力成本與貸款制度革新」為核心理念，提出四種躉購電價公式革新—貼近事實、具學理根據、投資誘因、貸款誘因、政府產業與民眾支持誘因與綠能產業發展之合理躉購電價(Feed-in Tariff, FIT)，以示範與初步階段專案(128, 108MW) 躉購電價(短期)與是否擴張裝置容量(長期3000MW) 「實質選擇權(real option pring)」短長期決策之結合，配合具有赤道原則與企業社會責任之綠色金融推動銀行參與主軸能源綠色金融貸款機制，藉由業界橋樑協助，與離岸風力開發商永傳、上緯、台電，與綠色金融業者國泰世華銀行、第一銀行等廠商合作與反應其開發與貸款障礙，依照其意見與問題進行研究，設定貼近事實情境，如漁民補償與海事工程，將整合計畫之研究成果與開發商進行回饋交流，修正研究成果，並依此結合本計畫各研究成果進行整合平台之建議。預期可成為主軸能源合理躉購電價公式之國家級SOP制定機制，並發展適合臺灣的綠色金融機制與商品，協助主軸能源開發商取得資金，最後進行主軸能源之經濟影響評估。計畫目標為建構主軸能源成本與貸款多面向平台，平台內聯結產官學研各構面，希望能降低開發障礙、綠色貸款疑慮、雙方與社會交易成本，亦即為Top-down (平台、經濟評估)與 Bottom-up (FIT、real option)結合。除直接將具政策高度與學理基礎之成果服務開發商，亦透過與各主軸計畫交流，希望成果為主軸所應用間接以技術面間接服務開發商，未來可整合NEP-II之其他主軸研究成果，以取得供給(主軸能源開發商)、需求(政府、產業、經濟發展與綠色就業)與資金(綠色金融業商品與機制)三方面之合作，建立國家級標準作業流程與一般性通用原則，本計畫成果將為台灣發展主軸能源與其他綠能產業之助力。 ""The integrated project will revel and provide brand new revolutionary feed-in tariff mechanisms and green financing with economic incentives to induce green energy industry to invest on for four principle energies that are offshore wind, ocean energy, geothermal energy and clean coal with CCSU technology to support the development of green economy and low carbon economy in Taiwan. The feed-in tariff (FIT) mechanism in sub-subject one will consider much broadly than current mechanism which the risks and uncertainty that the investors will face, including fisherman protest, availability of marine engineering, natural disaster such as typhoon, risk premiums, opportunity cost, sunk cost, time preferences, discount rates, that will adopt method of engineering economics and cost-benefit analysis to reveal the reasonable range of FIT. The green finance mechanism in sub-subject two will also consider the risks and uncertainty that the FIT provided. Using real option pricing, business valuation, risk management methods to evaluate the green energy industry and firms, this may benefit to green industry and green finance. The two major mechanisms which build by the integrated project will support, finance and promote the development of for principle energies. Finally, sub-subject three will perform economic evaluations for development of four energies in Taiwan. The integrated project collaborates with industry, academy, researchers and government to build an integrated platform of cost analysis and green loans to support development of all kinds of green energy in Taiwan. The results will power Taiwan’s economic growth by green economy, low carbon economy and green employment. The results may provide useful information as references for decision makers. "

Keyword(s)

低碳經濟
綠色經濟
躉購電價
綠色金融
經濟評估
離岸風力
海洋能
地熱
減碳淨煤
工程經濟
實質選擇權評價
可計算一般均衡模型
Low Carbon Economy
Green Economy
Feed-in Tariff
Green Finance
Economic Evaluation
Offshore Wind
Ocean Energy
Geothermal Energy
Carbon Emission Mitigation and Clean Coal
Emgineering Economics
Real Option Pricing
Computable Genreal Equilibrium

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Establishment of Cost Analysis and Financing Mechanism of Major Green Energy Industry in Taiwan

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