Motorcycle Reduction Strategies for Improving Road Traffic Safety

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基本資料

Project title

Code/計畫編號

MOST106-2410-H019-018-SSS

Translated Name/計畫中文名

提升道路交通安全之機車減量策略

Project Coordinator/計畫主持人

Tzay-An Shiau

Funding Organization/主管機關

National Science and Technology Council

Department/Unit

Department of Harbor and River Engineering

Website

https://www.grb.gov.tw/search/planDetail?id=12276861

Year

2017

Start date/計畫起

01-08-2017

Expected Completion/計畫迄

01-07-2018

Bugetid/研究經費

921千元

ResearchField/研究領域

經濟學

"台灣民眾普遍且強烈依賴機車做為交通工具；機車的使用率高，加上騎乘機車的脆弱性，使得大幅減少道路交通肇事變成一件困難的工作。過去在改善機車騎乘安全方面做了許多努力，然而機車肇事死亡人數所佔比例仍一直居首位，2015 年的統計數字顯示，機車肇事死亡人數所佔比例達 45.7% (總死亡人數1,548 人，機車占707 人)。本研究聚焦於強化機車騎士的風險認知前提下，提出機車減量策略。研究工作以兩階段問卷調查方式進行，並建立運具選擇模式；第一階段針對有車禍經驗的機車騎士來面訪，並應用前景理論 (Prospect theory)找出騎乘機車的風險參數；第二階段針對所有機車騎士來抽樣調查，並應用概略集合理論(Rough sets theory, RST)，將風險參數轉換為條件屬性(Condition attribute)；依據調查結果，應用概略集合理論可以歸納決策規則(Decision rules)；最後從決策規則可以研擬機車減量策略。" "Taiwanese people rely heavily on motorcycles for traveling. The high number of motorcycle users, combined with vulnerability of motorcycle riders in traffic, makes significantly reducing road traffic accidents a difficult task. Strategies to improve the traffic safety of motorcyclists have been implemented regularly. However, motorcyclist fatalities still maintain the largest proportion of traffic accidents; in 2015, motorcyclist fatalities comprised 45.7 % (707) of the total fatalities (1,548) caused by traffic accidents. This study focuses on initiating motorcycle reduction strategies based on reinforcing motorcyclists’ risk cognition. Two stages survey are arranged to build modal choice model. At the first stage survey, the motorcyclists who have experienced traffic accident are interviewed to summarize risk parameters using prospect theory. The results are transformed into condition attributes of the rough sets theory (RST) application at the second stage survey. The sampling based on all motorcyclists are conducted to build decision table. Subsequently, decision rules are induced using RST. Finally, motorcycle reduction strategies could be initiated based on decision rules."

Keyword(s)

機車
運具選擇模式
前景理論
概略集合理論
決策規則
Motorcycle
modal choice model
Prospect theory
Rough sets theory
RST
decision rules

DSpace CRIS

Motorcycle Reduction Strategies for Improving Road Traffic Safety

基本資料

Description